Thursday, November 29, 2018

2018 Week 13 NFL Predictions


                                                      Mill Works USA

                                                      NFL Predictions

                                                             Week 13

Rating (1-5 Star)/  Team/ Points/ W/L

5 Denver -4 ½ (13)
5 LAR/Detroit Over 55
5 NYJ/Ten Under 40 ½
5 Philly -6 ½ (15)
4 TB +3 1./2 (10)
4 CAR/TB Over 56
4 Houston -6 (14)
4 Buffalo/Miami Over 40 ½
4 NYJ +9 (8)
3 Indy/JAX Under 47 ½
3 Pittsburgh -3 ½ (12)
3 GB -14 (6)
3 NE -6 (11)
3 SF/Seattle Over 46
2 SF +10 (3)
2 Dallas +7 (9)
2 AZ/GB Over 45
2 NO/DAL Over 53
2 JAX +4 (7)
2 LAR -10 (1)
1 ATL Pk (5)
1 Buffalo +5 ½ (2)
1 NYG +4 1/2 (4)

Game Value Points:
YTD: 656 (54.7)

Record ATS

Week 5 4 3 2 1 Overall

1 0-0-1 1-0-0 3-1-0 1-2-0 3-4-0 8-7-1
2 0-1-0 1-0-0 3-0-0 1-3-0 3-3-1 7-7-1
3 0-1-0 0-0-0 3-2-0 2-4-0 2-2-0 7-9-0
4 1-1-0 1-1-0 3-2-0 3-0-0 0-2-1 8-6-1
5 0-1-0 1-4-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 5-0-0 8-7-0
6 0-3-0 0-2-0 1-0-1 1-3-0 1-3-0 3-11-1
7 1-0-0 1-1-0 3-0-1 2-1-0 4-0-0 11-2-1
8. 2-0-0 2-2-0 4-0-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 10-4-0
9. 1-1-0 1-1-0 3-1-0 1-2-0 1-2-0 6-7-0
10. 1-2-0 0-1-0 3-2-0 1-1-1 1-1-0 6-7-1
11. 1-1-0 2-1-0 2-2-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 7-6-0
12. 1-0-0 0-3-0 2-2-0 3-1-0 1-2-0 7-8-0
13.

Record O/U

Week 5 4 3 2 1 Overall

1 x x x 0-1-0 x 0-1-0
2 x 0-1-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 3-1-0
3 1-0-0 0-1-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 4-1-0
4 x x 1-1-0 1-0-0 x 2-1-0
5 1-0-0 1-0-0 3-0-0 x x 5-0-0
6 0-1-0 1-1-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 1-0-0 2-4-0
7 x x x x x x
8. 0-2-0 1-1-0 0-2-0 x x 1-5-0
9. 1-1-0 1-1-0 1-0-0 x x 3-2-0
10. x 1-1-0 1-1-0 0-0-1 x 3-2-0
11. 2-0-0 x 1-0-0 0-0-1 x 3-0-1 
12. 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 x 0-5-0
13.

Overall Total for Season

Week 5 4 3 2 1 Overall

1 0-0-1 1-0-0 3-1-0 1-3-0 3-4-0 8--8-1
2 0-1-0 1-1-0 4-0-0 2-3-0 4-3-1 11-8-1
3 1-1-0 0-1-0 4-2-0 3-4-0 3-2-0 11-10-0
4 1-1-0 1-1-0 4-3-0 4-0-0 0-2-1 10-7-1
5 1-1-0 2-4-0 4-1-0 1-1-0 5-0-0 13-7-0
6 0-4-0 1-3-0 1-1-1 1-4-0 2-3-0 5-15-1
7 1-0-0 1-1-0 3-0-1 2-1-0 4-0-0 11-2-1
8. 2-2-0 3-3-0 4-2-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 11-9-0
9 2-2-0 2-2-0 4-1-0 1-2-0 1-2-0 9-9-0
10. 1-2-0 1-2-0 4-3-0 2-1-1 1-1-0 9-9-1
11. 3-1-0 2-1-0 3-2-0 1-1-1 1-1-0 10-6-1
12. 1-1-0 0-4-0 2-3-0 3-3-0 1-2-0 7-13-0
13.
------ ------- ------- ------- -------- ---------
 13-16-1 14-23-0 40-19-2 22-23-2 26-21-2 114-103-7
                                                               

                                                 POWER 5

    1. Orleans Saints, 10-1, QB Brees MVP? Maybe..
    2. LA Rams 10-1, The only way to keep their offense from scoring at will was a bye week.

    3. KC Chiefs 9-2, Back at it this week after a bye. However, should be interesting to watch them chase the number one seed in the AFC.
    4. New England, 8-3, Remember, as out of step the Pats look at times on offense, they did beat the Chiefs at home earlier in the season. If, both teams have the same record...all roads go through Foxboro.

    5. Houston, 8-3, Houston we do have lift off after a commanding 34-17 division win versus the Titans. However, they might be only the fifth or sixth best team in the AFC!

Gone and could be back: Pittsburgh

On the outside: Chicago and Los Angelas Chargers.

2018 Major Hoople, Fearless Forecaster, College Football Predictions Week 15


                                                 Mill Works USA

                                                   Major Hoople

                                          'The Fearless Forecaster'

An 11-8 week has the Major shaken (not stirred) going into Championship Weekend. Can the Sultan of Smack, get his 'mojo' back to end on a high note before Bowl season?

The Major can be best described as being no genius. But, he does have an opinion and wants it to be heard each week! His full name is Major Amos B. Hoople, considered to be the King of the Grumps and for outlandish college football predictions. It must have been all the retro television comeback shows like Murphy Brown, Hawaii Five O, Magnum PI and McGyver that caused 'the Fearless Forecasters' return from the trash heap of past comic strips.

The 'Major' first appeared as a cartoon character in Our Boarding House. It ran in hundreds of newspapers across the nation, from 1921 until 1984. The cartoon was so well received by the public, that a weekly radio show ran for six seasons in the 1940s on NBC.

The syndicated college football prediction column started much later in 1968. The current Major Hoople writer remembers each week reading about games all over the nation in his daily local newspaper sports section He used the article as a preview for the slate of games that totaled almost 200 with the small school interest like with the Ivy Leagues. The people, back then actually read newspapers where ink most of the time got on your hands from turning the pages! A true contact sport of sorts...

The writer of the column, Tom Peoples, the original Football Prediction Wizard ended each column with :

Now go on with my forecast. We will also...and enjoy the read.

Last week was an example of the parity that exists in College Football. Also, the reason why a Non-Power 5 school like the UCF Knights deserves to play in a big bowl. Why not them, rather than a mediocre team from a Power 5 Conference. The truth be told when I go around the country, some of the major (Arrumph, not mean't to mean me...the Major or some bird Colonel either) division winners like from the Big Ten, 8-4 Northwestern and Pac 12 and Utah 9-3 are no world beaters. Include the ACC's University of Pittsburgh at 7-5 as one has to wonder at what point do the Panthers revert back to regular season form and get steamrolled by Clemson this Saturday? So, until either an expansion of teams in the playoffs or a further separation of teams by program levels of strength. A team like UCF, undefeated in the regular season the past two years with a great QB, deserves a chance to play for the big bowl money.

Last week was like a nightmare for the Major. I felt like a man of chance that was in on one bad stretch of luck. No, no, not the kind of luck where I end up taking money from an organized crime figure or a loan shark. But, for the life of me, how did Michigan look so bad last week? Also, include defensive stalwart LSU scoring 72 points...in one game! It took them 4 games this season to reach that total. But, wait, the Tigers, also lost by 2 points in the eighth overtime versus Texas A & M and its incredible 74 score.

The reasons for all the upsets this past week could have been: The Holiday travel for some teams and final exams. I know, I know, many of the top college programs just pass or overlook many a player or two or three grade scores. Not everyone goes to an Ivy League school or a Notre Dame, booyah! Sorry to all my Stanford, Cal and Rice fans, we know you do it right when classroom time expected by student athletes.

I guess I tried to get too smart for my own good.. I took Nebraska, WVU, Washington State, UAB and Florida State, mostly all underdogs. So, when the results came in during the day, I felt like I had been kicked in the rear end for my bold predictions. I also do take a bad week personally from my Hoople Selection System, the toss me around the room one, ….Kaff-Kaff, time to move on. What I did get correct Clemson, Alabama, Mississippi State, Texas, Northwestern and Boise State to name a few.


The Mill Sport Top 25 Poll weekly recap:

The Georgia Bull Dogs and Ohio State Buckeyes moved up to the fourth and fifth spots due to State's demolition of Michigan, now #11, down 7 spots. Oklahoma #6 and UCF #7 stayed in the same positions. Penn State #8, Texas #9 and Washington #10 all advanced in the rankings by four spots. The rest of the movers went up on average by 3 slots.

The droppers were Washington State # 12, from #8, West Virginia, only two down from #18 last week to 20th position, while LSU #24 and Utah State #25, fell, no they plunged like a rock dropped into the Atlantic Ocean tied to a sack of potatoes, down 14 spots each! I have not seen such a drop like this since the Coolidge Administration approval ratings...oh wait, have to now be the modern man of picks. So, the experience was just like the Reagan Administration, on that Black Monday on Wall Street, what a let down.

The Hoople Heisman Candidates are Kyler Murray QB, Oklahoma, Tua Tagovailoa, QB, Alabama, Dwayne Gaskins, QB, Ohio State, Jonathan Taylor, RB, Wisconsin, and Will Grier, QB, WVU. Me thinks the Boomer Sooner wins the sports most honored award, other than that glass rock, passed off as a diamond for the National Championship winner.

Now go on with my forecast:

PAC 12 Championship Utah #19 V. Washington #10, The Utes are without their starting Hoople Stud QB Huntley. The replacement, Jason Shelley has been adequate. However, in this contest, running back Zach Moss, with almost 1,100 yards on the ground with 11 scores may have to carry his team over the goal line...a lot.

The Huskies expectations for a stellar top 4 finish were very high in the off season. They finally found themselves back in the Top 10 rankings last week with a win over in-state and Pac 10 rival Washington State. QB Browning and RB Gaskins are what drive this team to victory as they take a bite out of the Ute, 35-20. The dogs will play in the Rose Bowl versus either Ohio State or Michigan.

SEC Championship Georgia #4 V. Alabama #1, Round 3 for these two schools going back to last year, a split so far. However without further need to give you specific player details, the Major fully on board for a 45-21, Roll Tide win. The victory sets up a Playoff first round match versus either the same Georgia team if close game, if not, Ohio State or a Oklahoma squad get the berth. Speaking of the Sooners, they better invoke the spirits of past team defensive greats like the Boz, Atwater and Thomas to show the 'youngins' how to lace them up to lay the smack down on the Long Horn.

Mountain West Championship Fresno State #15 @ Boise State #14, Played on that blue field, when I stare at it long enough on my TV screen, makes me so sea sick on Saturday nights...or was it when I make my 'visits' to the VFW for a few 'sodas' because hard to tell or 'remember' much from those 'social' calls...but, any how, QB Rypien a force to deal with because of the 3500 yards in the air with 29 touchdowns thrown.

But, stud runner Mattison has looked awesome the past two games when the Broncos needed to ice games. He has over 1200 yards and 16 tds on the ground this year. Move over past great Bronco runners Martin and Johnson. The team from Boise closes out the series with a 28-24 win.

Big 12 Championship Texas #9 V. Oklahoma #6, Lot's of points in this game as QB Murray shows the nation why his attendance required for the Heisman next week,.The Sooner's hog tie Bevo's team, 48-35.


Here are the other Top 25 Mill Sport USA poll game score predictions:


American Athletic Conference C hampionship Memphis State 24 @ # 7 UCF 27
ACC Championship Pittsburgh 14 @ #2 Clemson 55
Big 10 Championship Northwestern #18 17 @ #5 Ohio State 45

Record 68-29


                                                     MILLWORKS USA.

                               COLLEGE FOOTBALL/TOP 25 POLL Week 14

    Rk/Team/Record/LR
  1. Alabama 12-0 1
  2. Clemson 12-0 2
  3. ND 12-0 3
  4. UGA 11-1 5
  5. Ohio State 11-1 10
  6. Oklahoma 11-1 6
  7. UCF 10-0 7
  8. Penn State 9-3 12
  9. Texas 9-3 13
  10. Washington 9-3 14
  11. Michigan 10-2 4
  12. Washington State 10-2 8
  13. Florida 9-3 15
  14. Boise State 10-2 16
  15. Fresno State 10-2 17
  16. Army 9-2 19
  17. Kentucky 9-3 20
  18. Northwestern 8-4 21
  19. Utah 9-3 22
  20. WVU 8-3 18
  21. Texas A & M 8-4 NR
  22. Mississippi State 8-4 23
  23. Iowa 8-4 24
  24. LSU 9-3 10
  25. Utah State 10-2 11
    Honorable Mentions: NIU, NC State, FIU, Cincinnati, Temple, Syracuse, Oregon, Mizzouri and Buffalo.
    Gone this week, and will be forgotten: UAB

Tuesday, November 27, 2018

2018 Week 12 NFL Prediction and Power 5 Ranking Results.


                                                       Mill Works USA

                                                NFL Prediction Results

                                                             Week 12

Rating (1-5 Star)/  Team/ Points/ W/L

5 Atl/NO Over 60 L
5 Houston -6 (15) W
4 Detroit +4 (13) L
4 Washington +7 ½ (12) L
4 SF/TB Over 55 L
4 Cincinnati -3 (14) L
3 Carolina -3 ½ (11) L
3 Seattle/Carolina Under 47 L
3 Denver +3 (7) W
3 GB +3 ½ (9) L
3 TB -3 ½ (10) W
2 WSH/DAL Under 40 ½ L
2 TEN/HOUS Under 40 ½ L
2 Buffalo +3 (3) W
2 NYG +6 (8) W
2 NE -9 ½ (6) W
2 Arizona +12 (1) L
1 Oakland +11 (2) L
1 Indy -9 ½ (5) L
1 NO -13 (4) W

Game Value Points: 53

YTD: 656 (54.7)

Record ATS

Week 5 4 3 2 1 Overall

1 0-0-1 1-0-0 3-1-0 1-2-0 3-4-0 8-7-1
2 0-1-0 1-0-0 3-0-0 1-3-0 3-3-1 7-7-1
3 0-1-0 0-0-0 3-2-0 2-4-0 2-2-0 7-9-0
4 1-1-0 1-1-0 3-2-0 3-0-0 0-2-1 8-6-1
5 0-1-0 1-4-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 5-0-0 8-7-0
6 0-3-0 0-2-0 1-0-1 1-3-0 1-3-0 3-11-1
7 1-0-0 1-1-0 3-0-1 2-1-0 4-0-0 11-2-1
8. 2-0-0 2-2-0 4-0-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 10-4-0
9. 1-1-0 1-1-0 3-1-0 1-2-0 1-2-0 6-7-0
10. 1-2-0 0-1-0 3-2-0 1-1-1 1-1-0 6-7-1
11. 1-1-0 2-1-0 2-2-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 7-6-0
12. 1-0-0 0-3-0 2-2-0 3-1-0 1-2-0 7-8-0

Record O/U

Week 5 4 3 2 1 Overall

1 x x x 0-1-0 x 0-1-0
2 x 0-1-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 3-1-0
3 1-0-0 0-1-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 4-1-0
4 x x 1-1-0 1-0-0 x 2-1-0
5 1-0-0 1-0-0 3-0-0 x x 5-0-0
6 0-1-0 1-1-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 1-0-0 2-4-0
7 x x x x x x
8. 0-2-0 1-1-0 0-2-0 x x 1-5-0
9. 1-1-0 1-1-0 1-0-0 x x 3-2-0
10. x 1-1-0 1-1-0 0-0-1 x 3-2-0
11. 2-0-0 x 1-0-0 0-0-1 x 3-0-1
12. 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 x 0-5-0

Overall Total for Season

Week 5 4 3 2 1 Overall

1 0-0-1 1-0-0 3-1-0 1-3-0 3-4-0 8--8-1
2 0-1-0 1-1-0 4-0-0 2-3-0 4-3-1 11-8-1
3 1-1-0 0-1-0 4-2-0 3-4-0 3-2-0 11-10-0
4 1-1-0 1-1-0 4-3-0 4-0-0 0-2-1 10-7-1
5 1-1-0 2-4-0 4-1-0 1-1-0 5-0-0 13-7-0
6 0-4-0 1-3-0 1-1-1 1-4-0 2-3-0 5-15-1
7 1-0-0 1-1-0 3-0-1 2-1-0 4-0-0 11-2-1
8. 2-2-0 3-3-0 4-2-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 11-9-0
9 2-2-0 2-2-0 4-1-0 1-2-0 1-2-0 9-9-0
10. 1-2-0 1-2-0 4-3-0 2-1-1 1-1-0 9-9-1
11. 3-1-0 2-1-0 3-2-0 1-1-1 1-1-0 10-6-1
12. 1-1-0 0-4-0 2-3-0 3-3-0 1-2-0 7-13-0
------ ------- ------- ------- -------- ---------
 13-16-1 14-23-0 40-19-2 22-23-2 26-21-2 114-103-7

                                                               POWER 5

    1. Orleans Saints, 10-1, QB Brees MVP? Maybe..
    2. LA Rams 10-1, The only way to keep their offense from scoring at will was a bye week.

    3. KC Chiefs 9-2, Back at it this week after a bye. However, should be interesting to watch them chase the number one seed in the AFC.
    4. New England, 8-3, Remember, as out of step the Pats look at times on offense, they did beat the Chiefs at home earlier in the season. If, both teams have the same record...all roads go through Foxboro.

    5. Houston, 8-3, Houston we do have lift off after a commanding 34-17 division win versus the Titans. However, they might be only the fifth or sixth best team in the AFC!

Gone and could be back: Pittsburgh

On the outside: Chicago and LA Chargers.

2018 Week 15 College Football Predictions League Championships


                                                    Mill Works USA

                                     Predictions for Championship Week

                                                2018 CFB Week 15


Rating (1-5 Star)/  Team/ Points/ W/L

5 Clemson -26 ½
5 Pittsburgh/Clemson Over 55 ½
5 Ohio State -14
5 Drake/Iowa State Over 53 ½
5 Stanford +24
4 UT/Washington Over 43 ½
4 Alabama -13
3 Washington -5
3 Memphis State +3 ½
3 UGA/Alabama Over 64 ½
3 Boise State -2 ½
2 NIU +4
2 Oklahoma -7 ½
1 UAB +2 ½
1 Texas/Oklahoma Over 78
1 App State -17 ½
1 Iowa State -42 ½
1 South Carolina -29

Record ATS

Week 5 4 3 2 1 Overall

1 x 0-1 x 1-0 x 1-1-0
2 3-2-0 3-2-0 3-3-0 4-3-0 5-8-0 18-18-0
3 2-1-0 3-2-0 5-3-0 7-2-0 6-8-0 23-16-0
4 0-2-0 4-1-0 2-2-0 3-8-0 9-7-0 18-20-0
5 4-3-0 3-2-0 5-2-1 8-1-0 4-5-0 24-13-1
6 2-1-0 2-0-0 2-2-0 1-5-0 6-5-0 13-13-0
7 3-0-0 1-4-1 4-7-0 4-2-1 6-1-1 17-14-3
8 2-3-0 4-3-0 5-4-0 3-6-0 6-2-0 20-18-0
9 4-2-0 2-4-0 5-3-0 6-4-0 3-5-0 20-18-0
10. 4-1-0 2-3-0 2-5-0 2-6-0 3-6-0 13-21-0
11 2-3-0 5-1-0 6-1-0 5-5-0 6-8-0 24-18-0
12.5-3-0 1-6-1 3-3-0 4-3-0 7-2-0 20-17-1
13 1-1-0 4-1-0 5-4-0 3-4-0 4-4-0 17-14-0
14 2-2-2 4-2-0 2-5-0 3-5-0 5-5-0 16-19-2
15
Record O/U

Week 5 4 3 2 1 Overall

1 x x x x x 0-0-0
2 x x x x 3-1-0 3-1-0
3 x x x x x 0-0-0
4 x x x x x 0-0-0
5 x x x x x 0-0-0
6 x x 1-2-0 1-2-0 x 2-4-0
7 x x x x x 0-0-0
8 x x x x x 0-0-0
9 x x x x x 0-0-0
10 x x x x x 0-0-0
11 x x x x x 0-0-0
12 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-2-0 x x 2-2-0
13 2-0-0 0-2-0 0-1-0 1-0-0 0-1-0 3-4-0
14 x x 1-0-0 x x 1-0-0
15.

Overall Total for Season

Week 5 4 3 2 1 Total

1 x 1-0-0 x 1-0-0 x 1-1-0
2 3-2-0 3-2-0 3-3-0 4-3-0 8-9-0 21-19-0
3 2-1-0 3-2-0 5-3-0 7-2-0 6-8-0 23-16-0
4 0-2-0 4-1-0 2-2-0 3-8-0 9-7-0 18-20-0
5 4-3-0 3-2-0 5-2-1 8-1-0 4-5-0 24-13-1
6 2-1-0 2-0-0 3-4-0 2-7-0 6-5-0 15-17-0
7 3-0-0 1-4-1 4-7-0 4-2-1 6-1-1 17-14-3
8 2-3-0 4-3-0 5-4-0 3-6-0 6-2-0 20-18-0
9 4-2-0 2-4-0 5 -3-0 6-4-0 3-5-0 20-18-0
10 4-1-0 2-3-0 2-5-0 2-6-0 3-6-0 13-21-0
11.2-3-0 5-1-0 6-1-0 5-5-0 6-8-0 24-18-0 
12 6-3-0 2-6-1 3-5-0 4-3-0 7-2-0 22-19-1
13 3-1-0 4-3-0 5-5-0 4-4-0 4-5-0 20-18-0
14 2-2-2 4-2-0 3-5-0 3-5-0 5-5-0 17-19-2
15
------- ------- ------- ------ ---------- ----------
38-25-2 39-36-2 56-57-1 59-56-1 67-63-1 255-231-7